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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2018-03-06T23:54:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2018-03-06T23:54Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/13720/-1
CME Note: Source is a filament lift off best seen in SDO AIA 304 from S10E25 at 2018-03-06T16:30Z. Start time is after the data gap from 2018-03-06T19:39Z to 2018-03-06T23:54Z in STA cor2 imagery. It is not visible in SOHO LASCO C2 or C3 imagery.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2018-03-10T14:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 10.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:

From: Solar Influences Data analysis Center 
Date: March 7, 2018 at 4:55:12 AM MST
Subject: CME arrival alert
Reply-To: 

This mail contains the xml version of the CME arrival alert.
expected arrival time: 2018-03-10T14:00:00
time_uncertainty: 12
min_estimated_peak_K: 2
max_estimated_peak_K: 4
probability_of_arrival: 10

Lead Time: 69.77 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Mary Aronne (GSFC) on 2018-03-07T16:14Z

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